Energy Crisis Perfect Storm By Year 2100

We will likely run out of oil by year 2070.

The plan is to use electric vehicles including HGVs. Obviously cars will have to reduce because we cannot make enough power.

Nuclear power is likely to stop due to lack of nuclear materials by year 2100.

There will not be enough energy to power our HGVs.

Without HGVs, we cannot distribute food to the cities or supply the farms with vital fertilizers. We cannot use the factories we used to.

To make electricity we always have to take something out of the environment and we are taking too much.

We will have a technology blackout. Most knowledge is stored on the internet.

There will be a world-wide apocalypse.

Battle Plan

  • Reduce power consumption and start to find ways to do things without power.
  • Start learning these things now to teach our grandchildren.
  • Transfer useful information to a medium we can read but does not deteriorate too quickly, not plastic – due to the bacteria.
  • Stop ignoring the problem. The problems of tomorrow are the problems of today.
  • Reduce population by restricting new childbirth worldwide.

Sometimes the way back is the way forward.

Some Positives

Some organisations are saying we may have more uranium available from other areas, for example, the deep sea.

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-long-will-global-uranium-deposits-last/

The above article is older information and I am still looking over the issues. They suggest a very long period of nuclear power capability.

This may buy us time to respond.

Some Negatives

There is still a problem with tritiated water and the breakdown to heavy water. Heavy water is not being broken down to normal water. Heavy water stops mitoses and therefore means humans and animals alike will have survival problems as this gets into the drinking water supply over a long time period.

Nuclear power is a stop-gap while looking for cleaner ways to make electricity.

Ideas for Computing Technology

Computing could be simplified to use extremely low power, much like e-paper devices and monochrome solutions, as colour is a nicety that we made for our pleasure, not as a need. Maybe a tricolour e-paper on a small micro-powered system with very basic functions with the most minimal power consumption to maintain photos and training materials. But why not dithered monochrome for common functions. Maybe we should look to the needs, not the wants.

There may be a need to reduce data on the systems where such data is not really needed. As such would reduce power consumption and the physical resources to maintain it. I have looked at the outlay of my own systems and at present it is minimal.

The difference between old and new technology is we can provide what we had back then with less power.

Manufacturing

There is a huge overhead of electricity in manufacturing. This is a difficult thing to overcome as there is much need for a number of products. I.e. Food production. But with a smaller population, there is less volume required.

Does fashion drive wants or needs? “Keeping up with the Joneses.”

Art and its Importance

Art and culture are important as they can inspire and create ideas. But not all ideas aspire to needs.

Dangers of Tritiated Water Dumped in the Sea

Executive Summary

Tritiated water being dumped into the sea could cause a decline in mitosis and therefore affect reproduction in mammals both in the sea and mammals eating from the sea. There could also be effects similar to the bends with the production of 3He due to beta decay of the tritium. Tritium builds up in the body in the same fashion as lead however, tritium only stays around for up to 12.5 years. After this, it will change to deuterium and 3He. The body will start to excrete the deuterium which should still be bonded to oxygen forming heavy water. The deuterium (hydrogen-2 or 2H) does not decay as it is a stable isotope. Therefore all pure water (H2O) that is tritiated by nuclear power plants will become a form of heavy or semi-heavy water over time and the continued cycle eventually will convert all water to D2O and because of that, all mammals including humans will become extinct.

In More Detail

Tritiated water (T2O aka super-heavy water)[5] is being dumped or planned to be dumped into the sea by Japan[8]. They eat raw fish from the sea.[9] Note that it is tritiated water from the nuclear power plants so not pure tritium water, which is a good thing. Large quantities of tritiated may cause problems in high quantity as it is radioactive, although it has low levels of beta radiation which in itself is not as dangerous as ionising radiation, the decay process causes it to break down into other substances. There is approximately a 12-year half-life. One of the elements that form from the beta decay of tritium is helium-3 (a gas)[3][1] the other is deuterium aka hydrogen-2 (also a gas)[2]. In theory, the hydrogen would keep its bond with oxygen in T2O leaving deuterium water (D2O) aka heavy water[4]. But, the helium-3 (3He) is a noble gas, and therefore inert, which means that the gas is left roaming free. So if you eat foods from the sea or get tritiated water into your body the result may cause gas bubbles to form. It would probably be similar to the bends that divers can get when gas bubbles foam after rapid decompression. Tritiated water does occur naturally and the body can handle small doses but not complete body water replacement[7]. If levels become too highly concentrated then the body cannot remove the gasses from the blood, brain and organs.

Humans should not consume heavy water (D2O) as the D2O can stop cells from replicating in the body by disrupting the process of mitosis[6]. Tritiated water is more dangerous because, unlike D2O, T2O is harder to excrete from the body and can stay around for some years[7]. T2O changes to D2O within or up to its 12.5 half-life period (depending on when the T2O formed) and leaves 3He around. From T2O being introduced into the human body, you will get D2O that can be replaced by normal friendly H2O but also the free-roaming He3 which the body can remove in small amounts. During that time there will be a reduction in cellular replication which will be worse depending on the leaves of T2O.

In short, no one wants super-heavy water or heavy water in our food or water supplies. Thanks.

Notes

There can be DTO and HTO as well. Either would form 3He but only half as much as T2O.

Neutron radiation from the sun penetrates the Earth’s atmosphere where some T2O and HTO can be formed.[10]

  • Protium (1H) – stable – the friendly one everyone likes to have two of these bonded with oxygen that forms H2O
  • Deuterium (2H) – stable – not very nice because the strong bond with oxygen hurts mammals [6]
  • Tritium (3H) – unstable – beta decay – produces 2H and 3He, I don’t like you.

References

[1, EPA Fact About Tritium, https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML0609/ML060960589.pdf]
[2, Deuterium, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deuterium, accessed 19th Jun 2021]
[3, Helium-3, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helium-3, accessed 19th Jun 2021]
[4, Heavy Water, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heavy_water, accessed 19th Jun 2021]
[5, Super-Heavy Water, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tritiated_water, accessed 19th Jun 2021]
[6, Can you drink heavy water?, https://www.thoughtco.com/can-you-drink-heavy-water-607731, accessed 19th Jun 2021]
[7, TRITIUM from Nuclear Power Plants: Its Biological Hazards, https://www.nirs.org/radiation/tritium/, accessed 19th Jun 2021]
[8, Fukushima: Japan approves releasing wastewater into ocean, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-56728068, accessed 19th Jun 2021]
[9, Sashimi, https://www.japan-guide.com/e/e2044.html, accessed 19th Jun 2021]
[10, https://www.irsn.fr/EN/Research/publications-documentation/radionuclides-sheets/environment/Pages/Tritium-environment.aspx, accessed 19th Jun 2021]

Errata

19th Jun 2021, 20:14 – Added comment in summary about H2O becoming D2O over time. Changed He3 to 3He. Correction to the summary about the H2O to D2O.